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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Tarrallton Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk

Tract 51710006602 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,544 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 51710006602 sits in the Tarrallton area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 2,544 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share18.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$90,603

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Tarrallton
Moderate
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#59 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#1,682 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9236, -76.2201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tarrallton scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,406 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Tarrallton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tarrallton risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0066024.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 49Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 18.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.1%Peak (2011)
  • 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tarrallton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tarrallton

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 49 filings here across 2 tracked years. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 26.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. Average gross rent is $1,406, close to the Norfolk average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $90,603.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006602?

Census tract 51710006602 in the Tarrallton neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006602?

Median gross rent is $1,406/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006602?

12.9% of residents in tract 51710006602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,544.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 84th, minority 44th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006602 considered part of Tarrallton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006602 fall within Tarrallton (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 49 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.59% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006602 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006602 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006602 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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