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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Tarrallton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710006501 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is the Tarrallton area of Norfolk for landlords? Census tract 51710006501 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,141 monthly, set against $46,406 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 34% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,237
Renter share69.2%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$46,406

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Tarrallton
Very High
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#230 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9327, -76.2074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tarrallton scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,141 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Tarrallton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tarrallton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 006501Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 706Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 36.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 39.4%Peak (2011)
  • 294Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tarrallton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tarrallton

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006501?

Census tract 51710006501 in the Tarrallton neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006501?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006501?

17.4% of residents in tract 51710006501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 45th, minority 59th, housing 37th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006501 considered part of Tarrallton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006501 fall within Tarrallton (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 706 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 36.25% of renter households, peaking at 39.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006501 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006501 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006501 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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