Carver Eviction Risk: Elevated , Richmond
Tract 51760040201 · Richmond city, VA · pop 2,182 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
How risky is the Carver area of Richmond for landlords? Census tract 51760040201 scores 7.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 75% of renter households, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,611 a month while the average household earns $41,450 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. Renters make up 75% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5534, -77.4493 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carver scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Carver compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carver. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.8%Housing insecurity
- 14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.3%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 26.7%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Carver
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51760040201
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760040201?
What is the average rent in tract 51760040201?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760040201?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760040201?
Is tract 51760040201 considered part of Carver?
What share of households in tract 51760040201 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51760040201 compare to Richmond overall?
Was tract 51760040201 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.