Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Carver Eviction Risk: Elevated , Richmond
Tract 51760040300 · Richmond city, VA · pop 3,133 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 7.2/10 for census tract 51760040300 reflects conditions in the Carver neighborhood of Richmond, Virginia. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 83% of renter households, a severe level, and 72% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,386 a month against an average household income of $18,333 a year, roughly 91% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 69%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units404
Renter share82.9%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate60.5%
Median income$18,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Richmond and the region
Centroid at 37.5467, -77.4520 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carver scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.4
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
60.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,386 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.0
How Carver compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 28%Grade C
- 11%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 114Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.5%Peak (2013)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carver. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 14.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.1%Food insecurity
- 32.5%SNAP enrollment
- 23.3%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 30.6%Frequent mental distress
- 43.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carver
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Richmond eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Richmond City County average of 6.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 11% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.5% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51760040300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51760040300?
Census tract 51760040300 in the Carver neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51760040300?
Median gross rent is $1,386/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51760040300?
60.5% of residents in tract 51760040300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,133.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51760040300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 1th, minority 70th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 51760040300 considered part of Carver?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51760040300 fall within Carver (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51760040300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51760040300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.42% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51760040300 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51760040300 compare to Richmond overall?
Tract 51760040300 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51760040300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Richmond
Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Creighton Court
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Fairmount
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Montrose Heights
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Oak Grove
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Gilpin Court
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Monroe Ward
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
South Garden
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Barton Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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