Chatham Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke
Tract 51770000100 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,027 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51770000100 in the Chatham Hill area of Roanoke, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,027. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Roanoke and the region
Centroid at 37.2969, -79.9891 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chatham Hill scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Chatham Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.8%Housing insecurity
- 17.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 31.1%Food insecurity
- 32.9%SNAP enrollment
- 15.5%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 42.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Chatham Hill
SNAP participation runs 32.9% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $41,548 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Roanoke City average of 42.8%. At $1,157 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Roanoke commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Roanoke City average of 4.2 closely. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51770000100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770000100?
What is the average rent in tract 51770000100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51770000100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51770000100?
Is tract 51770000100 considered part of Chatham Hill?
What share of households in tract 51770000100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51770000100 compare to Roanoke overall?
Was tract 51770000100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke
Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.