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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Chatham Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770000100 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,027 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51770000100 in the Chatham Hill area of Roanoke, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,027. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 27% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,617
Renter share43.4%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$41,548

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Chatham Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 25 tracts In Roanoke
Elevated
Within county
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 25 tracts In Roanoke city
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#739 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2969, -79.9891 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chatham Hill scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roanoke
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roanoke
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roanoke
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roanoke
4.5

How Chatham Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chatham Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0001004.0Roanokeparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chatham Hill

SNAP participation runs 32.9% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Set annual rent against average income of $41,548 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

37% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Roanoke City average of 42.8%. At $1,157 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Roanoke commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Roanoke. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Roanoke City average of 4.2 closely. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770000100?

Census tract 51770000100 in the Chatham Hill neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51770000100?

Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770000100?

20.1% of residents in tract 51770000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,027.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 74th, minority 87th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 51770000100 considered part of Chatham Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770000100 fall within Chatham Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51770000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51770000100 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770000100 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51770000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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