Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Eden Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770000300 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,615 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51770000300 covers part of the Eden Park area of Roanoke, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,615 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 25% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,805

Renter share49.5%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$45,673

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.3160, -79.9656 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eden Park scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$1,243 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Eden Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
10%Grade B
2%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.4%Housing insecurity
14.1%Utility-shutoff threat
26.6%Food insecurity
25.1%SNAP enrollment
13.7%Transit barriers
17.1%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eden Park

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $45,673 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

At $1,243 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Roanoke commands. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 50% here against 42.8% across Roanoke City.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 25.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Roanoke City average of 4.2 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770000300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770000300?

Census tract 51770000300 in the Eden Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770000300?

Median gross rent is $1,243/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770000300?

21.6% of residents in tract 51770000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,615.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770000300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 81th, minority 63th, housing 49th.

Is tract 51770000300 considered part of Eden Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770000300 fall within Eden Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770000300 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770000300 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770000300 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770000300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.