Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Avendale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770000500 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,702 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 51770000500 in the Avendale area of Roanoke, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,702 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 22% Owners 49%

Tract context

Occupied units2,120

Renter share50.4%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate14.4%

Median income$36,346

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2950, -79.9356 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avendale scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

14.4% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$849 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Avendale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
41%Grade C
33%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.9%Housing insecurity
11.8%Utility-shutoff threat
22.9%Food insecurity
20.8%SNAP enrollment
11.8%Transit barriers
14.3%No health insurance
19.9%Frequent mental distress
36.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avendale

Cost burden runs 57% here against 42.8% across Roanoke City. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. At $849 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Roanoke commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Roanoke City average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $36,346. 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770000500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770000500?

Census tract 51770000500 in the Avendale neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770000500?

Median gross rent is $849/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770000500?

14.4% of residents in tract 51770000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,702.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 21th, minority 65th, housing 76th.

Is tract 51770000500 considered part of Avendale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770000500 fall within Avendale (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770000500 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770000500 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770000500 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.