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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Virginia Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Roanoke

Tract 51770001900 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 5,260 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

51770001900 is a census tract in the Virginia Heights area of Roanoke, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,260 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 30% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units2,246
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$60,725

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Virginia Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 25 tracts In Roanoke
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 25 tracts In Roanoke city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2673, -79.9846 · click any tract to drill in

Why Virginia Heights scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roanoke
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roanoke
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roanoke
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roanoke
4.5

How Virginia Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Virginia Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0019004.0Roanokeparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Virginia Heights

Cost burden runs 30% here against 42.8% across Roanoke City. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Roanoke City average of 4.2.

Average gross rent is $878, 12% below the Roanoke average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $60,725, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770001900?

Census tract 51770001900 in the Virginia Heights neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51770001900?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770001900?

8.8% of residents in tract 51770001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,260.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 69th, minority 43th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 51770001900 considered part of Virginia Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770001900 fall within Virginia Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51770001900 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51770001900 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770001900 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 51770001900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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