Melrose Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke
Tract 51770002400 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,543 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.6/10 for census tract 51770002400 reflects conditions in the Melrose area of Roanoke, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #10,202 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,194 a month while the average household earns $54,268 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Roanoke and the region
Centroid at 37.2923, -79.9647 · click any tract to drill in
Why Melrose scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Melrose compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 45%Grade C
- 8%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 20.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.8%Food insecurity
- 38.1%SNAP enrollment
- 18.0%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 43.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Melrose
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Roanoke City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 8% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 51770002400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770002400?
What is the average rent in tract 51770002400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51770002400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51770002400?
Is tract 51770002400 considered part of Melrose?
What share of households in tract 51770002400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51770002400 compare to Roanoke overall?
Was tract 51770002400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke
Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.