Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Hampden Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Roanoke

Tract 51770002800 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 5,139 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 51770002800 runs through the Hampden Hills neighborhood of Roanoke. With 5,139 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 73rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,022 monthly, set against $50,957 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 36% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 16% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units2,521

Renter share36.1%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate17.2%

Median income$50,957

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2455, -79.9255 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hampden Hills scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

17.2% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,022 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Hampden Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
6%Grade C
8%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.6%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
8.9%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
34.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hampden Hills

The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Roanoke City County average of 5.8 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770002800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770002800?

Census tract 51770002800 in the Hampden Hills neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770002800?

Median gross rent is $1,022/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770002800?

17.2% of residents in tract 51770002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770002800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 30th, minority 24th, housing 15th.

Is tract 51770002800 considered part of Hampden Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770002800 fall within Hampden Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770002800 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770002800 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770002800 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Roanoke at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770002800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.