Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Jefferson Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Roanoke

Tract 51770003000 · Roanoke city, VA · pop 4,322 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51770003000 covers part of the Jefferson Hills area of Roanoke, VA, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,322 residents. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Roanoke City average of 42.8%.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 19% Owners 54%

Tract context

Occupied units2,251

Renter share46.1%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate8.3%

Median income$46,209

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 37.2438, -79.9720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jefferson Hills scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Roanoke

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

8.3% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$846 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Roanoke

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Roanoke

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Roanoke

4.5

How Jefferson Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
59%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
1%Grade B
8%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.5%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jefferson Hills

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Against the Roanoke City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Average gross rent is $846, 15% below the Roanoke average. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $46,209. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51770003000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51770003000?

Census tract 51770003000 in the Jefferson Hills neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51770003000?

Median gross rent is $846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51770003000?

8.3% of residents in tract 51770003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,322.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51770003000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 35th, minority 32th, housing 59th.

Is tract 51770003000 considered part of Jefferson Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51770003000 fall within Jefferson Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51770003000 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51770003000 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 51770003000 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 51770003000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.