Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810040405 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 4,222 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 51810040405, home to 4,222 residents in the Lawson Forest neighborhood of Virginia Beach, scores 5.5/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,202 a month against an average household income of $46,453 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 32% Owners 33%

Tract context

Occupied units1,830

Renter share66.3%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate38.6%

Median income$46,453

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8681, -76.1644 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawson Forest scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Virginia Beach

4.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.3

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

38.6% poverty · this tract

9.6

Supply constraint

$1,202 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Virginia Beach

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Virginia Beach

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Virginia Beach

4.0

How Lawson Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
25%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.8%Housing insecurity
16.7%Utility-shutoff threat
29.6%Food insecurity
29.2%SNAP enrollment
16.1%Transit barriers
13.3%No health insurance
21.7%Frequent mental distress
38.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810040405

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040405?

Census tract 51810040405 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51810040405?

Median gross rent is $1,202/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040405?

38.6% of residents in tract 51810040405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,222.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 49th, minority 86th, housing 25th.

Is tract 51810040405 considered part of Lawson Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040405 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51810040405 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51810040405 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810040405 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.