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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810040200 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 5,468 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Here is how census tract 51810040200, in the Lawson Forest area of Virginia Beach eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,468. That is riskier than roughly 30% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,315 a month while the average household earns $51,786 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 34% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,810
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$51,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lawson Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#665 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8854, -76.1873 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawson Forest scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lawson Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lawson Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 040200Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 637Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 62.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 62.6%Peak (2016)
  • 637Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 637 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 62.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 62.6% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810040200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040200?

Census tract 51810040200 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810040200?

Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040200?

17.1% of residents in tract 51810040200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,468.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 88th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 51810040200 considered part of Lawson Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040200 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810040200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 637 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810040200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 62.64% of renter households, peaking at 62.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810040200 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810040200 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810040200 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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