Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810040200 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 5,468 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 51810040200 in the Lawson Forest area of Virginia Beach, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,468. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,810
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$51,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8854, -76.1873 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lawson Forest scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,315 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Lawson Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 637Total filings over 1 yrs
- 62.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 62.6%Peak (2016)
- 637Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.2%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.0%Food insecurity
- 27.9%SNAP enrollment
- 16.6%Transit barriers
- 14.2%No health insurance
- 23.5%Frequent mental distress
- 37.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Average gross rent is $1,315, 23% below the Virginia Beach average. Food insecurity runs 30.0% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 637 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 62.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 62.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Virginia eviction laws Beach as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810040200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040200?
Census tract 51810040200 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810040200?
Median gross rent is $1,315/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040200?
17.1% of residents in tract 51810040200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,468.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 88th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 51810040200 considered part of Lawson Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040200 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810040200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 637 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810040200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 62.64% of renter households, peaking at 62.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810040200 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810040200 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810040200 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Level Green
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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