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Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally

Lawson Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810040404 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 8,377 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 51810040404 runs through Lawson Forest in Virginia Beach. With 8,377 residents, it scores 4.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 22% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,971 monthly, set against $97,315 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 21% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units3,668
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.1%
Median income$97,315

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lawson Forest
Very Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Low
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Moderate
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,449 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8802, -76.1630 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lawson Forest scores 2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,971 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Lawson Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lawson Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.02.0This tracttract 040404Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 88Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 9.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2016)
  • 88Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lawson Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lawson Forest

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 9.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.6% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810040404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810040404?

Census tract 51810040404 in the Lawson Forest neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810040404?

Median gross rent is $1,971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810040404?

4.1% of residents in tract 51810040404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,377.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810040404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 63th, minority 59th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 51810040404 considered part of Lawson Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810040404 fall within Lawson Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810040404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810040404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.55% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51810040404 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51810040404 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810040404 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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