Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810043002 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,887 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51810043002 covers part of the Forest Hills area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,887. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,440
Renter share4.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$182,431
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8919, -76.0618 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2016)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Cost burden runs 63% here against 46.1% across Virginia Beach City.
At $3,501 a month, rents run 104% over what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. The voucher gap is 106.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9. The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810043002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043002?
Census tract 51810043002 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810043002?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043002?
2.3% of residents in tract 51810043002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,887.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 51th, minority 21th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51810043002 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810043002 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810043002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810043002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.30% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810043002 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810043002 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810043002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lawson Forest
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Kings Arm
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Euclid Terrace
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Lake View
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Thalia Manor
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
College Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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