Bay Island Eviction Risk: Lower , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810043004 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,479 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51810043004 is a census tract in the Bay Island area of Virginia Beach, VA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,479. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.9074, -76.0531 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Island scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bay Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 72Total filings over 1 yrs
- 12.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2016)
- 72Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.5%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 4.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 23.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bay Island
Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The voucher gap is 24.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
At $2,108 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Virginia Beach commands. Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.4/10.
Housing insecurity runs 5.5% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9.
Court records carry 72 eviction filings across 1 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 12.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 12.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 51810043004
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810043004?
What is the average rent in tract 51810043004?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810043004?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810043004?
Is tract 51810043004 considered part of Bay Island?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810043004?
What share of households in tract 51810043004 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51810043004 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.