Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Kings Arm Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045414 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 6,246 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51810045414 covers part of the Kings Arm area of Virginia Beach, VA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,246 residents. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units2,137
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$69,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8116, -76.0890 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kings Arm scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Kings Arm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 208Total filings over 1 yrs
- 25.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.9%Peak (2016)
- 208Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kings Arm. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.4%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kings Arm
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 208 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,473, 14% below the Virginia Beach average. Against Virginia Beach City at 46.1%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 25.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 25.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia eviction laws Beach rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045414?
Census tract 51810045414 in the Kings Arm neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045414?
Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045414?
18.7% of residents in tract 51810045414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,246.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 93th, minority 71th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045414 considered part of Kings Arm?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045414 fall within Kings Arm (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045414?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 208 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045414 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.94% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045414 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045414 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045414 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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