Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Kings Arm Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach
Tract 51810045415 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 1,934 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 51810045415 in the Kings Arm area of Virginia Beach, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units565
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$71,782
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region
Centroid at 36.8134, -76.0778 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kings Arm scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,796 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
How Kings Arm compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 17Total filings over 1 yrs
- 17.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2016)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kings Arm. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.1%Food insecurity
- 19.6%SNAP enrollment
- 11.3%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kings Arm
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Against the Virginia Beach City average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 17 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 17.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 17.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51810045415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045415?
Census tract 51810045415 in the Kings Arm neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51810045415?
Median gross rent is $1,796/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045415?
22.6% of residents in tract 51810045415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,934.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 76th, minority 60th, housing 1th.
Q5
Is tract 51810045415 considered part of Kings Arm?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045415 fall within Kings Arm (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51810045415?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51810045415 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.71% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51810045415 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51810045415 compare to Virginia Beach overall?
Tract 51810045415 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach
Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Pocahontas Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Oceana
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045808
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Cheltenham Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Magic Hollow
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Green Run
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51810045200
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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