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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Thalia Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Virginia Beach

Tract 51810045606 · Virginia Beach city, VA · pop 3,293 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 51810045606 runs through the Thalia Manor neighborhood of Virginia Beach. With 3,293 residents, it scores 5.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 44% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 54% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,623 a month while the average household earns $56,800 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 85% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 39% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,583
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate26.3%
Median income$56,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Thalia Manor
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 111 tracts In Virginia Beach city
Very High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#453 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Virginia Beach and the region

Centroid at 36.8371, -76.1113 · click any tract to drill in

Why Thalia Manor scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.3% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Virginia Beach
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Virginia Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Virginia Beach
4.0

How Thalia Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Thalia Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 045606Virginia Beach: 3.83.8Virginia Beachparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Thalia Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Thalia Manor

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Virginia Beach City County average of 4.5 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51810045606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51810045606?

Census tract 51810045606 in the Thalia Manor neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51810045606?

Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51810045606?

26.3% of residents in tract 51810045606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,293.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51810045606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 73th, minority 73th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 51810045606 considered part of Thalia Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51810045606 fall within Thalia Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51810045606 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51810045606 compare to Virginia Beach overall?

Tract 51810045606 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Virginia Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Virginia Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Virginia Beach

Top eight tracts in Virginia Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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