Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Fircrest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Vancouver

Tract 53011041317 · Clark County, WA · pop 5,805 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 53011041317 covers part of the Fircrest area of Vancouver, WA, and scores 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,805. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 33% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,844
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$76,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fircrest
Very High
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 51 tracts In Vancouver
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 115 tracts In Clark County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#462 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vancouver and the region

Centroid at 45.6322, -122.5525 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fircrest scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,809 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5

How Fircrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fircrest risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0413176.6Vancouverparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 210Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2017)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 53011041317
Filings climbed 68% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fircrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fircrest

54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Clark County average of 43.7%. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.9/10. Against the Clark County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 210 filings here across 8 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2017, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,809, close to the Vancouver average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $76,438.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 53011041317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011041317?

Census tract 53011041317 in the Fircrest neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53011041317?

Median gross rent is $1,809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53011041317?

7.7% of residents in tract 53011041317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,805.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53011041317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 71th, minority 38th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 53011041317 considered part of Fircrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011041317 fall within Fircrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011041317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 210 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011041317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53011041317 compare to Vancouver overall?

Tract 53011041317 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Vancouver at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver

Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related