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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Fircrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Vancouver

Tract 53011041317 · Clark County, WA · pop 5,805 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In the Fircrest neighborhood of Vancouver, census tract 53011041317 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,809 a month while the average household earns $76,438 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 71% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 33% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,844
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$76,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fircrest
Very High
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#31 of 51 tracts In Vancouver
Moderate
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 115 tracts In Clark County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#621 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vancouver and the region

Centroid at 45.6322, -122.5525 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fircrest scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vancouver
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,809 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vancouver
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vancouver
6.5

How Fircrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fircrest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 041317Vancouver: 7.27.2Vancouverparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 210Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2017)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530110413172004: 25 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)2009: 18 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2016: 42 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2017: 44 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2018: 42 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 68% over the past 8 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fircrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fircrest

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clark County average of 5.1 and in line with the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 210 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.7% of renter households in 2017.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 53011041317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53011041317?

Census tract 53011041317 in the Fircrest neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53011041317?

Median gross rent is $1,809/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53011041317?

7.7% of residents in tract 53011041317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,805.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53011041317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 71th, minority 38th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 53011041317 considered part of Fircrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53011041317 fall within Fircrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53011041317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 210 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 53011041317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53011041317 compare to Vancouver overall?

Tract 53011041317 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Vancouver at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vancouver eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vancouver

Top eight tracts in Vancouver ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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