Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh
Tract 55139000800 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 2,810 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 55139000800 in the Lumber River area of Oshkosh, WI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,810 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,422
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$58,193
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region
Centroid at 44.0357, -88.5542 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lumber River scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,193 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8
How Lumber River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 73%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 203Total filings over 12 yrs
- 3.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2008)
- 13Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lumber River
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,193, 28% above the Oshkosh average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 203 evictions over 12 years of observation.
The voucher gap is 13.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2008, when 5.4% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 55139000800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139000800?
Census tract 55139000800 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55139000800?
Median gross rent is $1,193/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55139000800?
9.5% of residents in tract 55139000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,810.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55139000800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 56th, minority 25th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 55139000800 considered part of Lumber River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139000800 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139000800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 203 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.53% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55139000800 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55139000800 compare to Oshkosh overall?
Tract 55139000800 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55139000800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh
Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Menominee South
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Woodland Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
55139001400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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