Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh
Tract 55139001100 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 3,759 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 55139001100 covers part of the Lumber River area of Oshkosh, WI, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,759 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,875
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$58,169
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region
Centroid at 44.0198, -88.5711 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lumber River scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8
How Lumber River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 232Total filings over 12 yrs
- 1.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2011)
- 15Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lumber River
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
Against the Winnebago County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Court records carry 232 eviction filings across 12 observed years. Average gross rent is $817, 13% below the Oshkosh average.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oshkosh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $58,169, annual rent is just 17%.
Statewide the WI average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 55139001100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139001100?
Census tract 55139001100 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55139001100?
Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55139001100?
15.9% of residents in tract 55139001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,759.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55139001100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 72th, minority 29th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 55139001100 considered part of Lumber River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139001100 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139001100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 232 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.91% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55139001100 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55139001100 compare to Oshkosh overall?
Tract 55139001100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55139001100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh
Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Menominee South
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Woodland Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
55139001400
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Northshore
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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