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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh

Tract 55139001000 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 55139001000 covers part of the Lumber River area of Oshkosh, WI, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,550 residents. Cost burden runs 55% here against 38.0% across Winnebago County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 28% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$53,731

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Lumber River
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 21 tracts In Oshkosh
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 45 tracts In Winnebago County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#144 of 1,528 tracts In Wisconsin
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region

Centroid at 44.0313, -88.5740 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lumber River scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8

How Lumber River compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lumber River risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0010004.0Oshkoshparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 106Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2009)
  • 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 55139001000
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lumber River

Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.0.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $780, 17% below the Oshkosh average.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Court records carry 106 eviction filings across 12 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 2.2% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 55139001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139001000?

Census tract 55139001000 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 55139001000?

Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 55139001000?

18.9% of residents in tract 55139001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 55139001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 53th, minority 33th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 55139001000 considered part of Lumber River?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139001000 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.29% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 55139001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 55139001000 compare to Oshkosh overall?

Tract 55139001000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 55139001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh

Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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