Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh
Tract 55139001000 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 2,550 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 55139001000 sits in Lumber River in Oshkosh eviction risk, Wisconsin eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #44,186 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $780 a month while the average household earns $53,731 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$53,731
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region
Centroid at 44.0313, -88.5740 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lumber River scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$780 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8
How Lumber River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 12 yrs
- 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.2%Peak (2009)
- 8Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.0%Food insecurity
- 13.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.0%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lumber River
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 4.6 and above the Wisconsin statewide average of 4.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 29% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 55139001000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139001000?
Census tract 55139001000 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55139001000?
Median gross rent is $780/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55139001000?
18.9% of residents in tract 55139001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,550.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55139001000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 53th, minority 33th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 55139001000 considered part of Lumber River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139001000 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139001000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.29% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55139001000 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55139001000 compare to Oshkosh overall?
Tract 55139001000 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55139001000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh
Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Middle Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Menominee South
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Woodland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
55139001400
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Stony Beach
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related