Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Lumber River Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oshkosh
Tract 55139000900 · Winnebago County, WI · pop 3,383 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
How risky is the Lumber River neighborhood of Oshkosh for landlords? Census tract 55139000900 scores 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 25% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $942 monthly, set against $66,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,480
Renter share43.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$66,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
35
th percentile
Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oshkosh and the region
Centroid at 44.0474, -88.5606 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lumber River scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Wisconsin legislature & governorship
2.9
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oshkosh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oshkosh
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oshkosh
5.8
How Lumber River compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 142Total filings over 12 yrs
- 2.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2010)
- 17Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 467% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lumber River. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lumber River
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 4.6 and in line with the Wisconsin statewide average of 4.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 142 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.6% of renter households in 2010.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 55139000900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 55139000900?
Census tract 55139000900 in the Lumber River neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 55139000900?
Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 55139000900?
11.2% of residents in tract 55139000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,383.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 55139000900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 83th, minority 15th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 55139000900 considered part of Lumber River?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 55139000900 fall within Lumber River (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 55139000900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 142 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 55139000900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.16% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 55139000900 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 55139000900 compare to Oshkosh overall?
Tract 55139000900 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Oshkosh at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oshkosh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 55139000900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oshkosh
Top eight tracts in Oshkosh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WI
Middle Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · WI
Middle Village
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Menominee South
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Woodland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
55139001400
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Lumber River
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · WI
Middle Village
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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