4 census tracts · pop 12,502 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 4.3–5.4
Lumber River is a 4-tract neighborhood of Oshkosh, WI, population 12,502. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.7/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 39% against 26.7% citywide, putting Lumber River 12.6% over its own city.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. 19% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.3 to 5.4, a 1.1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.7/10. Court records carry 683 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 5.4% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 2.3% in 2017, is well off that peak. That places it #5 of 7 neighborhoods in Oshkosh.
The closest comparables inside the same city are Northshore and Stony Beach. Against average income of $59,456, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $928, close to the Oshkosh average.
50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Lumber River vs OshkoshHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Lumber River
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
683Total filings (sum)
2.21%Avg annual filing rate
5.4%Peak year (2011)
2.28%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lumber River
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.1%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
31.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lumber River
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lumber River?
Lumber River scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lumber River compare to Oshkosh overall?
Lumber River scores 0.7 points higher than Oshkosh overall (4/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $928 vs $935.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lumber River?
Average gross rent in Lumber River is $928/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lumber River residents are renters?
50% of Lumber River households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Oshkosh). The neighborhood has 12,502 residents.
Q5
Is Lumber River a high social-vulnerability area?
Lumber River sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lumber River have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lumber River is census tract 55139001000 (score 5.4/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.3 to 5.4, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Lumber River for landlords?
Lumber River carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oshkosh as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lumber River?
Lumber River has 12,513 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (85.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
