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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

The Gulch Eviction Risk: Lower , Nashville

Tract 47037019502 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,834 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 47037019502 sits in the The Gulch area of Nashville eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 30% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units3,139
Renter share74.9%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$80,092

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In The Gulch
Low
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#82 of 166 tracts In Nashville
Moderate
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#84 of 174 tracts In Davidson County
Moderate
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#706 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1544, -86.7788 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Gulch scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,113 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1

How The Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Gulch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0195023.8Nashvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,377Total filings 2020-21
  • 17.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 5.26×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Gulch

Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,113 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Nashville commands. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037019502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019502?

Census tract 47037019502 in the The Gulch neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47037019502?

Median gross rent is $2,113/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019502?

14.6% of residents in tract 47037019502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,834.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 1th, minority 43th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 47037019502 considered part of The Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037019502 fall within The Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47037019502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 5.26× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47037019502 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037019502 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47037019502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 84% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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