The Gulch Eviction Risk: Lower , Nashville
Tract 47037019502 · Davidson County, TN · pop 3,834 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 47037019502 sits in the The Gulch area of Nashville eviction risk, TN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1544, -86.7788 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Gulch scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow The Gulch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 84%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,377Total filings 2020-21
- 17.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 5.26×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in The Gulch
Against Davidson County at 46.0%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $2,113 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Nashville commands. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Davidson County average of 3.9 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 47037019502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037019502?
What is the average rent in tract 47037019502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037019502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037019502?
Is tract 47037019502 considered part of The Gulch?
Did eviction filings in tract 47037019502 drop during COVID?
How does tract 47037019502 compare to Nashville overall?
Was tract 47037019502 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.