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Arlington, Tennessee eviction risk overview
City brief · 15,205 residents

Arlington, TN Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Shelby County · Population 15,205

In 2026
Risk score
2.2
VERY LOW

54th percentile, Tennessee.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.0 Average2.7 Now2.2
3.4 2.0 1976 · score 3.3 1977 · score 3.3 1978 · score 3.3 1979 · score 3.3 1980 · score 3.4 1981 · score 3.4 1982 · score 3.4 1983 · score 3.3 1984 · score 3.1 1985 · score 3.0 1986 · score 2.9 1987 · score 2.8 1988 · score 2.7 1989 · score 2.2 1990 · score 2.2 1991 · score 2.2 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.8 1996 · score 2.8 1997 · score 2.8 1998 · score 2.8 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 2.7 2001 · score 2.7 2002 · score 2.7 2003 · score 2.6 2004 · score 2.6 2005 · score 2.5 2006 · score 2.4 2007 · score 2.3 2008 · score 2.4 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.4 2013 · score 2.3 2014 · score 2.3 2015 · score 2.2 2016 · score 2.1 2017 · score 2.0 2018 · score 2.0 2019 · score 2.1 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 3.1 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.2 2025 · score 2.2 2026 · score 2.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 6.9 Regional 6.9 State 1.9 Economic 4.3 Supply 6.5 Rent Control 3.3 Eviction 1.5 Tenant 3.7 Housing 3.3 2.2 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +25.4% (2024)
    6.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    6.9
  3. State political climate
    Tennessee legislature & governorship
    1.9
  4. Economic stress
    5.4% poverty · 3.5% unemp.
    4.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,164 average · 15.3% renters
    6.5
  6. Rent Control risk
    22.4% of income on rent
    3.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    37 days filing → judgment
    1.5
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    15.3% renters
    3.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.3
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Shelby County
Very Low
#6 of 7 cities
Rank in county, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 cities in Shelby County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Tennessee
Moderate
#234 of 501 cities
Rank in state, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#234 of 501 cities in Tennessee for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Arlington risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Arlington: 2.22.2ArlingtonThis cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg in countyState: 2.42.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.2
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-1.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 37d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,164/mo. A contested eviction takes 37 days and costs $1,089–$3,055 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 15.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 15,205 residents, 15.3% rent. 22% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 6.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 6.9 and 6.9 (Dem margin +25.4% (2024)). State climate at 1.9, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.9
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.9/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.5, housing court bias 3.3, rent-control risk 3.3. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.5 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.3. Supply constraint: 6.5. The numbers behind those: 5.4% poverty, 3.5% unemployment, 22% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Arlington sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Bartlett, TN · 33d · ~$2.0k all-in ($61/day) · score 2.3 Bartlett Collierville, TN · 32d · ~$1.9k all-in ($60/day) · score 2.2 Collierville Nashville, TN · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.5 Nashville Knoxville, TN · 35d · ~$2.0k all-in ($57/day) · score 2.3 Knoxville Chattanooga, TN · 31d · ~$2.1k all-in ($67/day) · score 2.5 Chattanooga Clarksville, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($59/day) · score 2.4 Clarksville Murfreesboro, TN · 35d · ~$2.2k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.4 Murfreesboro Franklin, TN · 35d · ~$2.1k all-in ($61/day) · score 1.9 Franklin Johnson City, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($63/day) · score 2.3 Johnson City Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Arlington
Arlington · 37d · ~$2.1k all-in ($56/day) · score 2.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Arlington, TN

Landlording in Arlington, Tennessee, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.2/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Arlington is a city of 15,205 residents where 15.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 22.4% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,164/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Arlington eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.5/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Arlington closes 37 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Arlington's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Arlington runs $1,089 to $3,055 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 37 days of typical timeline and $2,164/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.7/10 in Arlington, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Tennessee, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Arlington: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Tennessee's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,055 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Arlington

Trap · 15.3%
15.3% renter share against 15,205 residents produces roughly 2,323 rental occupants in Arlington. Shelby County voted D 30.4% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-04-01.

In the most recent month, 1,579 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 0.77× the historical baseline (below baseline). Past 12 months: 25,698 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 146,558.

  • 1,579Past month
  • 25,698Past 12 months
  • 0.77×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 27.1%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: 14 days notice (for nonpayment of rent cases, though in many cases less). Filing fee: $102.5 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-04-01 – 2026-03-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-04-01: 2,073 filings (0.94× hist)2023-05-01: 2,511 filings (0.98× hist)2023-06-01: 2,728 filings (1.05× hist)2023-07-01: 2,499 filings (0.91× hist)2023-08-01: 2,801 filings (1.02× hist)2023-09-01: 2,757 filings (0.99× hist)2023-10-01: 3,040 filings (1.12× hist)2023-11-01: 2,486 filings (1.06× hist)2023-12-01: 2,119 filings (1.09× hist)2024-01-01: 2,472 filings (0.95× hist)2024-02-01: 2,632 filings (1.00× hist)2024-03-01: 1,836 filings (0.89× hist)2024-04-01: 2,428 filings (1.10× hist)2024-05-01: 2,637 filings (1.02× hist)2024-06-01: 2,481 filings (0.95× hist)2024-07-01: 2,967 filings (1.09× hist)2024-08-01: 2,674 filings (0.98× hist)2024-09-01: 2,791 filings (1.01× hist)2024-10-01: 2,547 filings (0.94× hist)2024-11-01: 2,224 filings (0.94× hist)2024-12-01: 1,850 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 2,598 filings (1.00× hist)2025-02-01: 2,285 filings (0.88× hist)2025-03-01: 1,794 filings (0.87× hist)2025-04-01: 1,855 filings (0.84× hist)2025-05-01: 2,269 filings (0.88× hist)2025-06-01: 2,438 filings (0.94× hist)2025-07-01: 2,991 filings (1.09× hist)2025-08-01: 2,460 filings (0.90× hist)2025-09-01: 2,400 filings (0.87× hist)2025-10-01: 2,457 filings (0.91× hist)2025-11-01: 1,810 filings (0.77× hist)2025-12-01: 2,301 filings (1.18× hist)2026-01-01: 1,315 filings (0.51× hist)2026-02-01: 1,823 filings (0.70× hist)2026-03-01: 1,579 filings (0.77× hist)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Arlington for reasons other than non-payment?

Yes, under Tennessee law, you can evict for lease violations (e.g., unauthorized pets, property damage) or even for no cause (non-renewal of a lease), provided you give proper notice. For a no-cause termination, a 30-day notice is typically required. There is no statewide "just-cause" requirement, which means you don't need a specific legal reason beyond the lease terms or expiration.

Q2

What if my tenant abandons the property?

If you believe a tenant has abandoned the property, you must follow specific legal procedures before taking possession. This usually involves serving a notice of abandonment and waiting a certain period. Improperly taking possession could lead to legal issues. Consult with an attorney to ensure you follow the correct protocol.

Q3

Can I raise the rent in Arlington?

Yes, there are no statewide rent control laws in Tennessee, including Arlington. You can raise the rent, but you must provide proper notice as specified in your lease or by state law (typically 30 days for month-to-month leases). For fixed-term leases, you can only raise the rent upon lease renewal.

Q4

Do I need an attorney for an eviction in Arlington?

While you can technically represent yourself in General Sessions Court, it's highly recommended to use an attorney for evictions. They understand the nuances of T.C.A. § 66-28, court procedures, and can prevent costly mistakes that delay the process or lead to dismissal. Given the typical eviction costs and lost rent, an attorney's fee is often a worthwhile investment.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.2/10 places Arlington in the 54th percentile of Tennessee cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.