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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

South Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157011500 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,214 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 47157011500 covers part of the South Memphis area of Memphis, TN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,214 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 29% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units639
Renter share64.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate31.9%
Median income$29,293

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In South Memphis
Very Low
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1152, -90.0237 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
31.9% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$804 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How South Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0115004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 388Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.04×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Memphis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Memphis

Disability prevalence runs 52.7% against 31.5% nationally. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Average gross rent is $804, 32% below the Memphis average.

The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $29,293, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against Shelby County at 48.3%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.1% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157011500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157011500?

Census tract 47157011500 in the South Memphis neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157011500?

Median gross rent is $804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157011500?

31.9% of residents in tract 47157011500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,214.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157011500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 90th, minority 96th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 47157011500 considered part of South Memphis?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157011500 fall within South Memphis (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157011500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.04× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157011500 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157011500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157011500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 15% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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