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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Beale Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157011600 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,432 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47157011600 in the Beale Street Historic District area of Memphis, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 28% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units749
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate60.6%
Median income$20,847

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Beale Street Historic District
Low
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 197 tracts In Memphis
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1205, -90.0397 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beale Street Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
60.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$721 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Beale Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beale Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0116004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 314Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beale Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beale Street Historic District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 61%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Disability prevalence runs 54.9% against 31.5% nationally. At $721 a month, rents run 39% under what the rest of Memphis commands.

Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $20,847, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Shelby County average of 48.3%.

This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157011600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157011600?

Census tract 47157011600 in the Beale Street Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157011600?

Median gross rent is $721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157011600?

60.6% of residents in tract 47157011600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,432.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157011600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 79th, minority 97th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 47157011600 considered part of Beale Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157011600 fall within Beale Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157011600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157011600 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157011600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157011600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 76% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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