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Neighborhood · Brownsville, TX

Cielito Lindo Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,386 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.5–4.5

Cielito Lindo Colonia maps to a single census tract in Brownsville, TX, population 4,386. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 30%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side is economic stress at 8.7/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Brownsville, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Riverside and Kellers Corner Colonia score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 4.5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Cielito Lindo Colonia vs Brownsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.0% +3%
Brownsville: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Brownsville: $923
Average HH income
$46,170 -5%
Brownsville: $48,675
Poverty rate
34.7% +40%
Brownsville: 24.9%
Renter share
5.9% -85%
Brownsville: 38.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cielito Lindo Colonia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.5–4.5

Why Cielito Lindo Colonia scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
34.7% below poverty line · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Cielito Lindo Colonia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cielito Lindo Colonia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Cielito Lindo ColoNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Cielito Lindo Colonia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48061014102 4.5 4,386 30% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 100%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 88%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Cielito Lindo Colonia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cielito Lindo Colonia?

Cielito Lindo Colonia scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cielito Lindo Colonia compare to Brownsville overall?

Cielito Lindo Colonia scores 1.1 points higher than Brownsville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 29% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Cielito Lindo Colonia residents are renters?

6% of Cielito Lindo Colonia households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Brownsville). The neighborhood has 4,386 residents.
Q4

Is Cielito Lindo Colonia a high social-vulnerability area?

Cielito Lindo Colonia sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Cielito Lindo Colonia for landlords?

Cielito Lindo Colonia carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brownsville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Cielito Lindo Colonia?

Cielito Lindo Colonia has 4,150 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (99.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (0.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (0%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cielito Lindo Colonia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brownsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cielito Lindo Colonia.

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