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Neighborhood · Brownsville, TX

Jaime Lake Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,945 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 4.7–4.7

Jaime Lake Colonia maps to a single census tract in Brownsville, TX and houses 3,945 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Brownsville baseline of 29.2%, 17% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $34,171 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 30%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.4/10.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Brownsville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Southmost and Riverside score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $912, close to the Brownsville average.

One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Jaime Lake Colonia vs Brownsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
16.8% -42%
Brownsville: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$912 -1%
Brownsville: $923
Average HH income
$34,171 -30%
Brownsville: $48,675
Poverty rate
29.6% +19%
Brownsville: 24.9%
Renter share
22.9% -40%
Brownsville: 38.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Jaime Lake Colonia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.7–4.7

Why Jaime Lake Colonia scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
17% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
29.6% below poverty line · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Jaime Lake Colonia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Jaime Lake Colonia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.7Jaime Lake ColoniaNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Jaime Lake Colonia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48061014101 4.7 3,945 17% $912
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 69%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 100%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Jaime Lake Colonia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Jaime Lake Colonia?

Jaime Lake Colonia scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Jaime Lake Colonia compare to Brownsville overall?

Jaime Lake Colonia scores 1.3 points higher than Brownsville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 17% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $912 vs $923.
Q3

What is the average rent in Jaime Lake Colonia?

Average gross rent in Jaime Lake Colonia is $912/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Jaime Lake Colonia residents are renters?

23% of Jaime Lake Colonia households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Brownsville). The neighborhood has 3,945 residents.
Q5

Is Jaime Lake Colonia a high social-vulnerability area?

Jaime Lake Colonia sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Jaime Lake Colonia for landlords?

Jaime Lake Colonia carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brownsville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Jaime Lake Colonia?

Jaime Lake Colonia has 4,295 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (99.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (0.3%), Other / Multiracial (0.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Jaime Lake Colonia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brownsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Jaime Lake Colonia.

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