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Neighborhood · Brownsville, TX

Valle Hermosa Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,514 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Valle Hermosa Colonia maps to a single census tract in Brownsville, TX, population 2,514. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, in the Moderate tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against a Brownsville baseline of 29.2%, 23% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.7/10. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Brownsville, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third.

Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 4.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valle Hermosa Colonia vs Brownsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
22.9% -22%
Brownsville: 29.2%
Average gross rent
$0 -100%
Brownsville: $923
Average HH income
$47,017 -3%
Brownsville: $48,675
Poverty rate
30.9% +24%
Brownsville: 24.9%
Renter share
4.8% -87%
Brownsville: 38.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valle Hermosa Colonia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Valle Hermosa Colonia scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
23% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
5% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
30.9% below poverty line · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Valle Hermosa Colonia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valle Hermosa Colonia score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.4Valle Hermosa ColoNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Valle Hermosa Colonia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48061014103 4.4 2,514 23% ,
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 76%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 87%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Valle Hermosa Colonia

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valle Hermosa Colonia?

Valle Hermosa Colonia scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valle Hermosa Colonia compare to Brownsville overall?

Valle Hermosa Colonia scores 1.0 points higher than Brownsville overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 29% citywide.
Q3

What percentage of Valle Hermosa Colonia residents are renters?

5% of Valle Hermosa Colonia households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Brownsville). The neighborhood has 2,514 residents.
Q4

Is Valle Hermosa Colonia a high social-vulnerability area?

Valle Hermosa Colonia sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5

How safe is Valle Hermosa Colonia for landlords?

Valle Hermosa Colonia carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brownsville as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q6

What is the demographic breakdown of Valle Hermosa Colonia?

Valle Hermosa Colonia has 2,544 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (97.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (2.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (0%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valle Hermosa Colonia

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brownsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valle Hermosa Colonia.

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