Kellers Corner Colonia Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 31%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 37% against 29.2% citywide, putting Kellers Corner Colonia 8.1% over its own city.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 7.8/10. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 4.5. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $750 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Brownsville commands.

Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Court records for this tract carry 29 eviction filings.

The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 3.6% of renter households. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 2.0% in 2018, is well off that peak.

Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Brownsville, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, Cielito Lindo Colonia and Riverside score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $43,246.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.