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Census Tract · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Melissa Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48085030207 · Collin, TX · pop 15,551 · 43% of tract blocks fall in Melissa

Census tract 48085030207 covers part of Melissa, TX, and scores 3.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 15,551. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 5% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units5,344
Renter share8.3%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$107,792

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Melissa
Very High
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#109 of 220 tracts In Collin
Moderate
Within state
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#3,941 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,558 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Melissa and the region

Centroid at 33.3555, -96.5158 · click any tract to drill in

Why Melissa scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Melissa
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,344 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Melissa
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Melissa
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Melissa
5.1

How Melissa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Melissa risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.33.3This tracttract 030207Melissa: 3.43.4Melissaparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Melissa

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 24.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Collin County average of 3.6 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,344, close to the Melissa average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $107,792.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48085030207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48085030207?

Census tract 48085030207 in Melissa scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48085030207?

Median gross rent is $2,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48085030207?

4.8% of residents in tract 48085030207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 15,551.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48085030207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 52th, minority 54th, housing 14th.
Q5

How does tract 48085030207 compare to Melissa overall?

Tract 48085030207 scores 3.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Melissa at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Melissa; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Melissa

Top eight tracts in Melissa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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