Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Prosper Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020128 ·
Denton, TX · pop 11,849 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Prosper
Tract 48121020128 sits in Prosper, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 10%Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units3,882
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$166,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Prosper
Very Low
Within county
27th percentile
#142 of 193 tracts In Denton
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Prosper and the region
Centroid at 33.2406, -96.8652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prosper scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Prosper
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,550 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Prosper
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Prosper
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Prosper
3.3
How Prosper compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
31%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
158Total filings 2020-21
2.1Avg monthly (observed)
0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
2.77×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
The voucher gap is 35.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,550, 17% above the Prosper average. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020128
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020128?
Census tract 48121020128 in Prosper scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020128?
Median gross rent is $2,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020128?
3.9% of residents in tract 48121020128 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020128?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 31th, minority 64th, housing 16th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020128 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020128 compare to Prosper overall?
Tract 48121020128 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Prosper at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Prosper; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Prosper
Top eight tracts in Prosper ranked by composite eviction-risk score.