Rowlett Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 29.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $2,438 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Rowlett commands.

It sits 0.8 points below the Dallas County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.