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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121020800 · Denton, TX · pop 6,791 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Denton

Census tract 48121020800 covers part of Denton, TX, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,791 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 31% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units2,391
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate35.1%
Median income$53,518

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 34 tracts In Denton
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.1983, -97.1797 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.1% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,290 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 020800Denton: 3.83.8Dentonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 724Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 4.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2002)
  • 41Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210208002001: 67 filings (5.94/100 renter HHs)2002: 99 filings (8.77/100 renter HHs)2003: 33 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2004: 69 filings (6.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 71 filings (4.71/100 renter HHs)2006: 55 filings (3.65/100 renter HHs)2007: 56 filings (3.71/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 36 filings (2.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 42 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)2013: 76 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2015: 54 filings (3.57/100 renter HHs)2016: 41 filings (2.98/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 39% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 862Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 5.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.11×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 15 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-06-01: 11 filings (2.32× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.48× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (0.89× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2020-11-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2020-12-01: 13 filings (1.58× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-02-01: 7 filings (1.87× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 11 filings (2.10× baseline)2021-06-01: 8 filings (1.68× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2021-10-01: 18 filings (4.80× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (0.61× baseline)2022-01-01: 32 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-02-01: 27 filings (7.20× baseline)2022-03-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2022-04-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 20 filings (4.21× baseline)2022-07-01: 4 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-08-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 20 filings (2.96× baseline)2022-10-01: 9 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-11-01: 11 filings (1.91× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (0.97× baseline)2023-01-01: 30 filings (4.29× baseline)2023-02-01: 23 filings (6.13× baseline)2023-03-01: 14 filings (2.55× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 9 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-06-01: 25 filings (5.26× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (0.85× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-09-01: 20 filings (2.96× baseline)2023-10-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2023-11-01: 15 filings (2.61× baseline)2023-12-01: 8 filings (0.97× baseline)2024-01-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-02-01: 18 filings (4.80× baseline)2024-03-01: 12 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-04-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2024-05-01: 18 filings (3.43× baseline)2024-06-01: 17 filings (3.58× baseline)2024-07-01: 18 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 13 filings (1.93× baseline)2024-10-01: 20 filings (5.33× baseline)2024-11-01: 14 filings (2.43× baseline)2024-12-01: 28 filings (3.39× baseline)2025-01-01: 14 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-03-01: 13 filings (2.36× baseline)2025-04-01: 13 filings (2.60× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-06-01: 20 filings (4.21× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-09-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2025-10-01: 9 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-11-01: 12 filings (2.09× baseline)2025-12-01: 12 filings (1.45× baseline)2026-01-01: 23 filings (230.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 16 filings (160.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton

The dominant input is economic stress at 8.8/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Cost burden runs 55% here against 45.5% across Denton County. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 724 filings here across 13 tracked years.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,290, 9% below the Denton average. Filings peaked in 2002 at 8.8% of renter households.

In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020800?

Census tract 48121020800 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020800?

Median gross rent is $1,290/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020800?

35.1% of residents in tract 48121020800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 2th, minority 65th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 724 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.16% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121020800 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020800 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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