Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021304 · Denton, TX · pop 6,565 · 95% of tract blocks fall in Denton
Tract 48121021304 sits in Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 6,565. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,790
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$71,979
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1732, -97.1343 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,395 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 607Total filings over 13 yrs
- 6.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.0%Peak (2004)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 465Total filings 2020-21
- 6.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.75×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. The filing record is not thin: 607 evictions over 13 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2004, when 11.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021304?
Census tract 48121021304 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021304?
Median gross rent is $1,395/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021304?
11.8% of residents in tract 48121021304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,565.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 44th, minority 58th, housing 13th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 607 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.21% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.75× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121021304 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021304 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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