Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020900 · Denton, TX · pop 4,566
Tract 48121020900 sits in Denton eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,566. roughly two in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share93.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate40.5%
Median income$24,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2021, -97.1584 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$908 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 754Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.30%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2010)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 173Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $24,476, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $908 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Denton commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The filing record is not thin: 754 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020900?
Census tract 48121020900 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020900?
Median gross rent is $908/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020900?
40.5% of residents in tract 48121020900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,566.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 5th, minority 71th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 754 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.30% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48121020900 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020900 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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