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Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48121020900 · Denton, TX · pop 4,566

Tract 48121020900 covers Denton in Texas. Home to 4,566 residents, it scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $908 a month against an average household income of $24,476 a year, roughly 45% of income at the averages. Renters make up 93% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 29% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,268
Renter share93.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate40.5%
Median income$24,476

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 34 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#266 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
National
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#8,912 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2021, -97.1584 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$908 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 020900Denton: 3.03.0Dentonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 754Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 5.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2010)
  • 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210209002001: 46 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 66 filings (5.06/100 renter HHs)2003: 44 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 75 filings (5.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 42 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2006: 65 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2007: 67 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 87 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 54 filings (4.86/100 renter HHs)2012: 63 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2013: 74 filings (6.65/100 renter HHs)2015: 33 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2016: 38 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 173Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.67×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.42× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 754 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.5% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020900?

Census tract 48121020900 in Denton scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020900?

Median gross rent is $908/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020900?

40.5% of residents in tract 48121020900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,566.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 5th, minority 71th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 754 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.30% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48121020900 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020900 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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