Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $24,476, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $908 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Denton commands. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The filing record is not thin: 754 evictions over 13 years of observation.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.4% against 11.3% nationally.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.