Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020507 · Denton, TX · pop 3,235
Census tract 48121020507 covers part of Denton, TX, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,235. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,323
Renter share54.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$74,904
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2495, -97.1237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,416 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 151Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.34×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Denton County average of 45.5%.
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,416, close to the Denton average.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $74,904. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020507
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020507?
Census tract 48121020507 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020507?
Median gross rent is $1,416/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020507?
19.9% of residents in tract 48121020507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,235.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020507?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 78th, minority 49th, housing 49th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020507 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.34× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020507 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020507 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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