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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121020601 · Denton, TX · pop 5,076 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

48121020601 is a census tract in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.5% across Denton County.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 33% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,612
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$37,237

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 34 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#375 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2275, -97.1207 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,129 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 020601Denton: 3.83.8Dentonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,072Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 6.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.1%Peak (2007)
  • 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210206012001: 57 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)2002: 44 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 58 filings (4.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 81 filings (6.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 80 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2006: 88 filings (8.11/100 renter HHs)2007: 142 filings (13.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 103 filings (6.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 106 filings (8.22/100 renter HHs)2012: 114 filings (8.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 76 filings (5.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 73 filings (5.66/100 renter HHs)2016: 50 filings (4.07/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 537Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 22 filings (3.38× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.38× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 10 filings (1.29× baseline)2020-09-01: 9 filings (0.88× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.10× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 4 filings (0.48× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.15× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.19× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-05-01: 7 filings (1.22× baseline)2021-06-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-07-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2021-09-01: 7 filings (0.68× baseline)2021-10-01: 23 filings (2.36× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (0.85× baseline)2022-01-01: 8 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-02-01: 11 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 19 filings (3.30× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-07-01: 16 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 17 filings (2.19× baseline)2022-09-01: 16 filings (1.56× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-12-01: 6 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-01-01: 14 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (0.76× baseline)2023-04-01: 10 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 15 filings (2.61× baseline)2023-06-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 16 filings (2.06× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 11 filings (1.13× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-02-01: 16 filings (5.82× baseline)2024-03-01: 15 filings (2.86× baseline)2024-04-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.39× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (0.56× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (0.88× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2025-02-01: 13 filings (4.73× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-05-01: 5 filings (0.87× baseline)2025-06-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (0.77× baseline)2025-09-01: 16 filings (1.56× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (0.61× baseline)2026-01-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 12 filings (120.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $37,237 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8.

At $1,129 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Denton commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,072 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 13.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020601?

Census tract 48121020601 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020601?

Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020601?

28.6% of residents in tract 48121020601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,076.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 21th, minority 72th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 48121020601 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020601 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,072 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.70% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020601 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48121020601 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020601 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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