Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Square Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 48121020601 ·
Denton, TX · pop 5,076 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Denton Square neighborhood of Denton, census tract 48121020601 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,129 a month while the average household earns $37,237 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 88% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55%Stable renters 33%Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,612
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$37,237
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57th percentile
#4 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Elevated
Within parent city
85th percentile
#6 of 34 tracts In Denton
High
Within county
97th percentile
#6 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
91th percentile
#652 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2275, -97.1207 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,129 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
96%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,072Total filings over 13 yrs
6.70%Avg annual filing rate
13.1%Peak (2007)
50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
537Total filings 2020-21
7.0Avg monthly (observed)
6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
1.08×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.08x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020601?
Census tract 48121020601 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020601?
Median gross rent is $1,129/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020601?
28.6% of residents in tract 48121020601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,076.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 21th, minority 72th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 48121020601 considered part of Denton Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020601 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,072 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.70% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.08× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121020601 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020601 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.