Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Square Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121020700 ·
Denton, TX · pop 3,510 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
48121020700 is a census tract in the Denton Square area of Denton, TX. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,510. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%Stable renters 31%Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate39.0%
Median income$30,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
71th percentile
#3 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
Elevated
Within parent city
76th percentile
#9 of 34 tracts In Denton
High
Within county
93th percentile
#14 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
95th percentile
#375 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2169, -97.1508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.0% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
86%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
529Total filings over 13 yrs
2.83%Avg annual filing rate
5.5%Peak (2013)
47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2016
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
349Total filings 2020-21
4.5Avg monthly (observed)
3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
1.18×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Cost burden runs 65% here against 45.5% across Denton County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $30,900, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,048, 26% below the Denton average.
It sits 1.4 points above the Denton County average of 3.8. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 529 filings here across 13 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 5.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020700?
Census tract 48121020700 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020700?
Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020700?
39.0% of residents in tract 48121020700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,510.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 17th, minority 55th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 48121020700 considered part of Denton Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020700 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 529 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.18× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121020700 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020700 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.