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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 48121020700 · Denton, TX · pop 3,510 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 48121020700, home to 3,510 residents in the Denton Square neighborhood of Denton, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,048 a month while the average household earns $30,900 a year, roughly 41% of income at the averages. Renters make up 88% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57% Stable renters 31% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share88.2%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate39.0%
Median income$30,900

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Denton Square
High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 34 tracts In Denton
High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#525 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 33.2169, -97.1508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton Square scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.0% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,048 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5

How Denton Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 020700Denton: 3.03.0Dentonparent cityCounty: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 529Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 2.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2013)
  • 47Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 481210207002001: 45 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2002: 30 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)2003: 56 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)2004: 27 filings (1.65/100 renter HHs)2005: 40 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 27 filings (1.93/100 renter HHs)2007: 36 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2010: 43 filings (2.73/100 renter HHs)2011: 28 filings (2.10/100 renter HHs)2012: 44 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2013: 74 filings (5.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (2.40/100 renter HHs)2016: 47 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 349Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.18×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2020-03-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-07-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-03-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-05-01: 9 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.84× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2021-09-01: 6 filings (1.09× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2022-01-01: 14 filings (4.31× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (2.22× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.47× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 8 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-11-01: 8 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-02-01: 9 filings (3.27× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 11 filings (1.83× baseline)2024-05-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-06-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-07-01: 7 filings (1.47× baseline)2024-08-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-09-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2024-10-01: 9 filings (3.27× baseline)2024-11-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (2.59× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-02-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2025-03-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton Square

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.18x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 529 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020700?

Census tract 48121020700 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020700?

Median gross rent is $1,048/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020700?

39.0% of residents in tract 48121020700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,510.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 17th, minority 55th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 48121020700 considered part of Denton Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121020700 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121020700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 529 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121020700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.18× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48121020700 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 48121020700 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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