Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021203 · Denton, TX · pop 3,805
48121021203 is a census tract in Denton, TX. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,805. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,658
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate34.1%
Median income$45,357
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2000, -97.0995 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
34.1% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 805Total filings 2020-21
- 10.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Cost burden runs 59% here against 45.5% across Denton County.
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $45,357, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, economic stress reads 8.5/10. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.5% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021203?
Census tract 48121021203 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021203?
Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021203?
34.1% of residents in tract 48121021203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,805.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 34th, minority 75th, housing 61th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021203 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021203 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Related