Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Square Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 48121021301 · Denton, TX · pop 4,335 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 48121021301 belongs to the Denton Square neighborhood of Denton, Texas. It is home to 4,335 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,242 a month while the average household earns $31,765 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 65%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate37.2%
Median income$31,765
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1984, -97.1291 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton Square scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.2% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$1,242 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,480Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.8%Peak (2012)
- 138Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 840Total filings 2020-21
- 10.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Denton Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton Square
What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.07x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021301?
Census tract 48121021301 in the Denton Square neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021301?
Median gross rent is $1,242/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021301?
37.2% of residents in tract 48121021301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 13th, minority 75th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 48121021301 considered part of Denton Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48121021301 fall within Denton Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48121021301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,480 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 48121021301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.06% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48121021301 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021301 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020900
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121021204
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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