Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 48121021204 · Denton, TX · pop 3,881
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 48121021204 in Denton, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 75%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$33,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
95
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1906, -97.0921 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 993Total filings 2020-21
- 12.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Denton County average of 45.5%. Set annual rent against average income of $33,750 and the ratio lands at 53%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 46.8% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.7% against 11.3% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021204?
Census tract 48121021204 in Denton scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021204?
Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021204?
43.5% of residents in tract 48121021204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,881.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 85th, minority 63th, housing 89th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021204 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021204 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020508
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021414
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020605
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020900
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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