Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 48121021204 · Denton, TX · pop 3,881
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 48121021204 (Denton, Texas) comes in at 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 75% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,492 a month while the average household earns $33,750 a year, roughly 53% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 75%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,372
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate43.5%
Median income$33,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.1906, -97.0921 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 993Total filings 2020-21
- 12.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Denton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Denton County average of 5.0 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121021204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021204?
Census tract 48121021204 in Denton scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121021204?
Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021204?
43.5% of residents in tract 48121021204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,881.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 85th, minority 63th, housing 89th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121021204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121021204 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121021204 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Denton at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48121020900
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48121020800
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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