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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

The Colony Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121021534 · Denton, TX · pop 6,077 · 65% of tract blocks fall in The Colony

With a score of 3/10, tract 48121021534 in The Colony, TX reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,077 residents. 100% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Denton County average of 45.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%
Tract context
Occupied units2,282
Renter share1.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$231,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 10 tracts In The Colony
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#170 of 193 tracts In Denton
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#4,505 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across The Colony and the region

Centroid at 33.1067, -96.9286 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Colony scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from The Colony
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from The Colony
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from The Colony
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from The Colony
4.1

How The Colony compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Colony risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 021534The Colony: 4.04.0The Colonyparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 30Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.54×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Colony

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.4% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Denton County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121021534

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121021534?

Census tract 48121021534 in The Colony scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121021534?

4.7% of residents in tract 48121021534 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,077.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121021534?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 9th, minority 63th, housing 1th.
Q4

Did eviction filings in tract 48121021534 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.54× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q5

How does tract 48121021534 compare to The Colony overall?

Tract 48121021534 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of The Colony at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from The Colony; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in The Colony

Top eight tracts in The Colony ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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