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Seminole, Texas eviction risk overview
City brief · 7,184 residents

Seminole, TX Eviction Risk: LOW

Gaines County · Population 7,184

In 2026
Risk score
3.2
LOW

51th percentile, Texas.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average3.0 Now3.2
4.3 1.7 1976 · score 1.7 1977 · score 1.8 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 2.2 1981 · score 2.3 1982 · score 2.5 1983 · score 2.9 1984 · score 2.9 1985 · score 2.9 1986 · score 3.1 1987 · score 3.0 1988 · score 3.1 1989 · score 3.1 1990 · score 3.1 1991 · score 3.1 1992 · score 3.1 1993 · score 3.1 1994 · score 3.1 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.2 1997 · score 3.2 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.2 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.2 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.1 2006 · score 3.1 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.1 2009 · score 3.3 2010 · score 3.3 2011 · score 3.2 2012 · score 3.2 2013 · score 3.2 2014 · score 3.1 2015 · score 3.1 2016 · score 3.2 2017 · score 3.2 2018 · score 3.2 2019 · score 3.2 2020 · score 4.1 2021 · score 4.3 2022 · score 3.3 2023 · score 3.2 2024 · score 3.2 2025 · score 3.2 2026 · score 3.2

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 1.9 Regional 1.9 State 1.5 Economic 4.6 Supply 5.0 Rent Control 6.6 Eviction 1.0 Tenant 5.3 Housing 5.7 3.2 LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +82.6% (2024)
    1.9
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    1.9
  3. State political climate
    Texas legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    8.6% poverty · 2.5% unemp.
    4.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $858 average · 25.8% renters
    5.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    26.9% of income on rent
    6.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    27 days filing → judgment
    1.0
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    25.8% renters
    5.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.7
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Seminole compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Gaines County
Very Low
#2 of 2 cities
Rank in county, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 cities in Gaines County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Texas
Low
#1354 of 1,841 cities
Rank in state, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1354 of 1,841 cities in Texas for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Seminole risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Seminole: 3.23.2SeminoleThis cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avg

Texas landlord-tenant law

Eviction rules are set at the state level. These are the Texas statutes, timelines and dollar figures that govern every property on this page.

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 3.2
    / 10 · LOW
    The verdict

    A Low-tier market.

    Composite 3.2/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.5 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 27d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $858/mo. A contested eviction takes 27 days and costs $939–$3,715 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026
  3. 25.8%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 7,184 residents, 25.8% rent. 27% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 8.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026
  4. 1.9
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 1.9 and 1.9 (GOP margin +82.6% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1, housing court bias 5.7, rent-control risk 6.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-4.0 since '00
    197620012026
  6. 4.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.6. Supply constraint: 5. The numbers behind those: 8.6% poverty, 2.5% unemployment, 27% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Seminole sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 20d 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.7 Houston San Antonio, TX · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 3.8 San Antonio Dallas, TX · 24d · ~$2.1k all-in ($89/day) · score 3.7 Dallas Austin, TX · 24d · ~$2.2k all-in ($92/day) · score 4 Austin Fort Worth, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.4 Fort Worth El Paso, TX · 24d · ~$2.3k all-in ($95/day) · score 3.5 El Paso Arlington, TX · 25d · ~$2.1k all-in ($83/day) · score 3.4 Arlington Corpus Christi, TX · 26d · ~$2.6k all-in ($98/day) · score 3.3 Corpus Christi Plano, TX · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 3.2 Plano Lubbock, TX · 23d · ~$2.5k all-in ($109/day) · score 3.2 Lubbock Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.6 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.3 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.6 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Seminole
Seminole · 27d · ~$2.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.2 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Seminole, TX

Landlording in Seminole, Texas, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.2/10 (LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Seminole is a city of 7,184 residents where 25.8% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 26.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $858/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Seminole eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Seminole closes 27 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Seminole's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.7/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Seminole runs $939 to $3,715 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 27 days of typical timeline and $858/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.3/10 in Seminole, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Texas, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Seminole: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Texas's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,715 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Seminole

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
25.8% renter share against 7,184 residents produces roughly 1,856 rental occupants in Seminole. Gaines County voted R 79.7% in 2020. Eviction filings tend to cluster in the multifamily rental corridor.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims they lost their job?

Empathy is good, but your property is a business. Texas has no statewide tenant protections for source of income. You can offer a payment plan if you choose, but you are not obligated to. If they can't pay, you must proceed with the 3-day notice to protect your investment. Document everything.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Seminole for having unauthorized pets?

Yes, if your lease explicitly prohibits pets or requires prior approval, and the tenant violated that clause. You'd typically issue a notice to cure the lease violation (e.g., remove the pet) or quit. The notice period for lease violations is usually 3 days in Texas, similar to non-payment.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Gaines County?

While you can represent yourself in Justice Court, many landlords find value in hiring an attorney. They understand the specific procedures, can draft notices correctly, and handle any unexpected tenant defenses. For a 3.2/10 risk score, it's often smoother with legal help, especially if you're busy.

Q4

How long does an eviction appeal take in Texas?

If a tenant appeals a Justice Court judgment, the case moves to the County Court. This adds significant time, often weeks or months, and additional legal fees. The tenant may also be required to pay a supersedeas bond or make rent payments into the court registry during the appeal, but this isn't guaranteed.

Q5

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. This is an illegal self-help eviction tactic in Texas and can lead to significant penalties against you. You must follow the legal eviction process through the courts. Keep utilities on until the sheriff executes the Writ of Possession.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 3.2/10 places Seminole in the 51st percentile of Texas cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.