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Neighborhood · Deer Park, TX

Pecan Plantation Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 14,969 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3–4.5

Pecan Plantation is a 2-tract neighborhood of Deer Park, TX and houses 14,969 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.8/10, in the Lower tier. The severe-burden share is 39%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

66% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Deer Park rate of 33.7%. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3 to 4.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Court records carry 550 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 7.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 4.4% in 2015, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,212, 8% below the Deer Park average of $1,318.

Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 3.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Pecan Plantation vs Deer Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.8% +95%
Deer Park: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,212 -8%
Deer Park: $1,318
Average HH income
$75,501 -21%
Deer Park: $95,233
Poverty rate
9.8% +19%
Deer Park: 8.2%
Renter share
27.4% +26%
Deer Park: 21.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pecan Plantation and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–4.5

Why Pecan Plantation scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.7–6.1 across tracts
4.4
Rent control risk
66% of income on rent · Range 7.6–8.9 across tracts
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.6 across tracts
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 4.9–6.2 across tracts
5.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–7.4 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
9.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.9 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.5 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Pecan Plantation vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pecan Plantation score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.8Pecan PlantationNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Pecan Plantation

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201343000 4.5 7,663 79% $1,293
48201342900 3 7,306 52% $1,127
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Pecan Plantation

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 550Total filings (sum)
  • 5.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak year (2012)
  • 4.38%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 356Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly observed
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.80×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About Pecan Plantation

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pecan Plantation?

Pecan Plantation scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pecan Plantation compare to Deer Park overall?

Pecan Plantation scores 0.2 points higher than Deer Park overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,212 vs $1,318.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pecan Plantation?

Average gross rent in Pecan Plantation is $1,212/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pecan Plantation residents are renters?

27% of Pecan Plantation households are renter-occupied (vs 22% in Deer Park). The neighborhood has 14,969 residents.
Q5

Is Pecan Plantation a high social-vulnerability area?

Pecan Plantation sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pecan Plantation have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pecan Plantation is census tract 48201343000 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.5, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Pecan Plantation for landlords?

Pecan Plantation carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Deer Park as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pecan Plantation?

Pecan Plantation has 15,187 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.6%), Hispanic / Latino (40.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pecan Plantation

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Deer Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pecan Plantation.

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