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Neighborhood · Pasadena, TX

River Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 16,515 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

River Oaks is a 4-tract neighborhood of Pasadena, TX, population 16,515. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,782, 47% above the Pasadena average of $1,213.

Against a Pasadena baseline of 31.5%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.2/10. The voucher gap is 16.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Filings are well documented here: 524 across 4 observed tracts.

Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 48.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 9.0% in 2015, is well off that peak. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Pasadena, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Country Briar and Bowling Green. Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
River Oaks vs Pasadena How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.7% +42%
Pasadena: 31.5%
Average gross rent
$1,782 +47%
Pasadena: $1,213
Average HH income
$127,772 +99%
Pasadena: $64,270
Poverty rate
10.3% -44%
Pasadena: 18.3%
Renter share
21.5% -53%
Pasadena: 45.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across River Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3–3

Why River Oaks scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.5–5.5 across tracts
3.7
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.5 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 2.0–3.5 across tracts
2.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
10.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.1 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.2–8.7 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

River Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

River Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0River OaksNeighborhood3.4Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in River Oaks?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in River Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
48201342001 3 6,404 73% $2,099
48201342100 3 4,375 10% $1,402
48201342002 3 4,074 45% $1,701
48201411200 3 1,662 26% $1,764
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 58%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 62%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 37%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in River Oaks

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 524Total filings (sum)
  • 18.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 48.2%Peak year (2013)
  • 9.76%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 284Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly observed
  • 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.41×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).

Frequently asked

About River Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for River Oaks?

River Oaks scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does River Oaks compare to Pasadena overall?

River Oaks scores 0.4 points lower than Pasadena overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,782 vs $1,213.
Q3

What is the average rent in River Oaks?

Average gross rent in River Oaks is $1,782/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of River Oaks residents are renters?

22% of River Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Pasadena). The neighborhood has 16,515 residents.
Q5

Is River Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

River Oaks sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in River Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in River Oaks is census tract 48201342001 (score 3/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is River Oaks for landlords?

River Oaks carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pasadena as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of River Oaks?

River Oaks has 16,682 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.7%), Hispanic / Latino (35.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near River Oaks

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pasadena

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to River Oaks.

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