Neighborhood · Ranked #74,103 of 84,120 nationally

Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201423402 · Harris, TX · pop 4,587 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 48201423402 covers the Brays Oaks area of Houston, home to 4,587 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 11% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 11% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $967 monthly, set against $60,246 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 30% of occupied homes.

Risk score

2.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 27% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,447

Renter share30.2%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate15.1%

Median income$60,246

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6486, -95.5297 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brays Oaks scores 2.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Houston

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

15.1% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$967 rent vs county FMR

1.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Houston

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Houston

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Houston

2.5

How Brays Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
98%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

737Total filings over 7 yrs
25.66%Avg annual filing rate
45.2%Peak (2012)
93Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings climbed 69% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

158Total filings 2020-21
2.1Avg monthly (observed)
10.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.20×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.20x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201423402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423402?

Census tract 48201423402 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48201423402?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423402?

15.1% of residents in tract 48201423402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,587.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 70th, minority 98th, housing 60th.

Is tract 48201423402 considered part of Brays Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423402 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201423402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 737 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201423402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 25.66% of renter households, peaking at 45.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 48201423402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

How does tract 48201423402 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201423402 scores 2.3/10, lower than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.